GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 4/11/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Para Hills Knights are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Adelaide City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 60.0-point power-rating edge (11.7 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.1% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

90.1%

Model confidence

90.1%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Para Hills KnightsLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 22 · avg 0.80/4.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Adelaide CityWDDWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Para Hills KnightsAdelaide City
24.2Attack66.7
0.0Defence75.8
3.0Form72.7
11.7Power71.7
0.49xG3.83
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