GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/22/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

PAOK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Shamrock Rovers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PAOK

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PAOKWLDWW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shamrock RoversWDLWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PAOKShamrock Rovers
58.3Attack66.7
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form50.0
54.5Power40.7
1.92xG1.37
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