Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PAOK 0-0 OFI
Original prediction
PAOK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.8% | 62.9% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 21.1% | 20.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 7.55 | 12.1% | 17.1% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PAOKWLWDL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OFILWWWD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PAOKOFI
77.8Attack73.3
88.9Defence33.3
83.3Form46.7
81.0Power52.1
2.75xG1.14