GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/24/2025, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

PAOK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PAOKDLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Maccabi Tel AvivWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
PAOKMaccabi Tel Aviv
58.3Attack75.0
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form75.0
54.5Power69.7
1.37xG1.68
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