Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
PAOK are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Kifisia are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 35.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.6% in the Super League 1, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
88.6%
Model confidence
88.6%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50