PAOKvs
HNK Rijeka
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/28/2025, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
PAOK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while HNK Rijeka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00