GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/12/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

PAOK are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ferencvarosi TC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PAOKWWDWW

GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ferencvarosi TCWLDWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PAOKFerencvarosi TC
58.3Attack61.1
50.0Defence72.2
50.0Form77.8
54.5Power72.4
1.16xG1.61
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