Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
PAOK are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FCSB are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.5 against 53.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60