PAOKvs
Celta Vigo
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 2/19/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PAOK are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Celta Vigo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.5 against 55.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60