GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/6/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

PAOK are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while BSC Young Boys are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PAOK

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PAOKWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BSC Young BoysDDWWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PAOKBSC Young Boys
58.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form16.7
54.5Power31.3
1.90xG1.15
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