Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
PAOK are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Brann are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
9.9%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80