Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
PAOK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Brann are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80