PAOKvs
Asteras Tripolis
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 8/20/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
PAOK are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Asteras Tripolis are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LDDW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 29.7-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.3% in the Super League 1, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
81.3%
Model confidence
81.3%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25