PAOKvs
Anderlecht
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/6/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PAOK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Anderlecht are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Anderlecht
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
12.5%
Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00