PAOK IIvs
Nestos Chrisoupolis
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: PAOK II 0-0 Nestos Chrisoupolis, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
PAOK II 2-1 Nestos Chrisoupolis
Original prediction
PAOK II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.9% | 44.2% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.9% | 28.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.76 | 19.1% | 27.6% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Projected Score
PAOK II 0–0 Nestos Chrisoupolis
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
PAOK II
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
PAOK II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PAOK IILDWWD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Nestos ChrisoupolisWLDLW
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PAOK IINestos Chrisoupolis
54.2Attack35.7
54.2Defence69.0
51.0Form47.6
54.0Power52.3
1.08xG0.89