PAOK IIvs
Ellas Syros
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/5/2026, 11:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ellas Syros · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: PAOK II 0-1 Ellas Syros, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
PAOK II 0-0 Ellas Syros
Original prediction
Ellas Syros
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.4% | 31.8% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.9% | 29.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.8% | 38.3% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Projected Score
PAOK II 0–1 Ellas Syros
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ellas Syros
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Ellas Syros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PAOK IILWLDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ellas SyrosDWWDD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PAOK IIEllas Syros
33.3Attack47.6
50.0Defence71.4
50.0Form53.6
47.8Power58.0
0.75xG1.20