PAOK IIvs
Apollon Pontou
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: PAOK II 0-0 Apollon Pontou, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
PAOK II 2-1 Apollon Pontou
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.6% | 33.4% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.7% | 31.8% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 23.6% | 34.8% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
PAOK II 0–0 Apollon Pontou
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PAOK IILDLWL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Apollon PontouWDWLL
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
PAOK IIApollon Pontou
16.7Attack27.8
55.6Defence72.2
27.8Form44.4
36.5Power51.1
0.66xG0.85