Panthrakikosvs
PAOK II
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panthrakikos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Panthrakikos 2-0 PAOK II
Original prediction
Panthrakikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.2% | 37.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.4% | 29.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.4% | 33.2% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Panthrakikos
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Panthrakikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00