GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 2 · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Panthrakikos · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Panthrakikos 2-2 Olympiakos Piraeus II

Original prediction

Panthrakikos

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9846.2%49.8%3.6 pts
Draw3.2028.7%27.1%-1.6 pts
Away3.6625.1%23.1%-2.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–015%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Panthrakikos

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Panthrakikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanthrakikosLDLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Olympiakos Piraeus IILDLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PanthrakikosOlympiakos Piraeus II
33.3Attack38.9
73.3Defence33.3
46.7Form27.8
53.0Power36.5
1.48xG0.74
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