Panthrakikosvs
Niki Volos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niki Volos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Panthrakikos 1-0 Niki Volos
Original prediction
Niki Volos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.16 | 17.7% | 33.8% | 16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.4% | 28.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.9% | 37.2% | -18.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Niki Volos
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Niki Volos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60