Panserraikosvs
Olympiakos Piraeus II
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/27/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panserraikos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Panserraikos 4-1 Olympiakos Piraeus II
Original prediction
Panserraikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 79.9% | 42.4% | -37.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.16 | 14.8% | 26.2% | 11.5 pts |
| Away | 17.09 | 5.3% | 31.4% | 26.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Panserraikos
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Panserraikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20