Panserraikosvs
Nestos Chrisoupolis
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/10/2026, 11:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panserraikos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Panserraikos 1-0 Nestos Chrisoupolis, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Panserraikos 2-1 Nestos Chrisoupolis
Original prediction
Panserraikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.0% | 53.0% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.0% | 26.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 6.96 | 13.1% | 20.3% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Projected Score
Panserraikos 1–0 Nestos Chrisoupolis
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Panserraikos
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Panserraikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80