Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panionios · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Panionios 1-0 Zakynthos, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Panionios 1-0 Zakynthos
Original prediction
Panionios
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.7% | 55.1% | -17.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.62 | 19.6% | 26.3% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 11.87 | 7.6% | 18.6% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.6 pts
Projected Score
Panionios 1–0 Zakynthos
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Panionios
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Panionios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PanioniosDWWDW
GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
ZakynthosLLDLL
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PanioniosZakynthos
50.0Attack33.3
76.9Defence66.7
60.3Form33.3
62.8Power45.3
1.45xG0.54