Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panionios · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Panionios 0-0 PAOK II, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Panionios 3-0 PAOK II
Original prediction
Panionios
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.7% | 47.1% | -16.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.4% | 30.6% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 7.09 | 12.8% | 22.3% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.6 pts
Projected Score
Panionios 0–0 PAOK II
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Panionios
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Panionios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PanioniosLWDWW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
PAOK IIDLWLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PanioniosPAOK II
26.7Attack20.0
86.7Defence66.7
66.7Form33.3
62.3Power43.0
0.92xG0.58