Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Panionios 0-0 Marko, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Panionios 0-4 Marko
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 23:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.0% | 33.3% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 31.1% | 31.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.8% | 35.1% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
Panionios 0–0 Marko
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PanioniosDWLWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MarkoDWWWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PanioniosMarko
38.1Attack57.1
85.7Defence76.2
66.7Form90.5
64.6Power78.5
0.72xG0.90