Panioniosvs
Apollon Pontou
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panionios · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Panionios 1-0 Apollon Pontou
Original prediction
Panionios
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 69.5% | 50.7% | -18.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.3% | 26.3% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 9.93 | 9.2% | 23.0% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Panionios
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Panionios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67