A LygaA Lyga
Monday, 29 June 2026Last updated 10:06
Panevėžys

Panevėžys

Home
L
12
Full time
Suduva Marijampole

Suduva Marijampole

Away
WW
Aukstaitijos Stadium
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Suduva Marijampole(49%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Suduva Marijampole
Win probability
Panevėžys
25%
Draw
26%
Suduva Marijampole
49%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Panevėžys
9
Suduva Marijampole
73
Defence
Panevėžys
6
Suduva Marijampole
66
Momentum
Panevėžys
0
Suduva Marijampole
100
Danger (xG)
Panevėžys
0.00
Suduva Marijampole
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Panevėžys)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Suduva Marijampole)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Panevėžys)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Suduva Marijampole)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PanevėžysPanevėžys
LLL
Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole
WWD

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Panevėžys25%
Draw26%
Suduva Marijampole49%

Suduva Marijampole leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Panevėžys head into this in A Lyga fixture at Aukstaitijos Stadium in mixed form (L), while Suduva Marijampole arrive in decent form (WW). Panevėžys have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Suduva Marijampole over 2 games.

Tactically, Suduva Marijampole hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Panevėžys defence (6/100), while Panevėžys's attack faces a solid Suduva Marijampole backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Panevėžys have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Suduva Marijampole have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Suduva Marijampole have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Suduva Marijampole to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Panevėžys 2480%, Draw 2610%, Suduva Marijampole 4910%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Panevėžys 0Draws 01 Suduva Marijampole
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
29 Jun 2026
Panevėžys
L12
Suduva Marijampole

Recent form

Panevėžys

Panevėžys

L
@ Kauno Žalgiris
11 Jul 2026
03
L
vs Suduva Marijampole
29 Jun 2026
12
L
@ Minija
23 Jun 2026
12
Suduva Marijampole

Suduva Marijampole

W
@ Panevėžys
29 Jun 2026
21
W
@ Džiugas Telšiai
21 Jun 2026
21
D
@ Hegelmann Litauen
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Panevėžys vs Suduva Marijampole?

GoalVio's model predicts Suduva Marijampole to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Suduva Marijampole?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Panevėžys vs Suduva Marijampole?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Panevėžys vs Suduva Marijampole?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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