Panevėžysvs
Kauno Žalgiris
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 3/19/2023, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Panevėžys are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.4% in the A Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kauno Žalgiris
Probability
70.4%
Model confidence
70.4%
Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60