GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 3/19/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Panevėžys are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.4% in the A Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kauno Žalgiris

Probability

70.4%

Model confidence

70.4%

Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanevėžysWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kauno ŽalgirisDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PanevėžysKauno Žalgiris
36.1Attack66.7
45.8Defence76.8
40.3Form62.3
42.9Power66.9
0.54xG2.11
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