Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Banga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Panevėžys 0-1 Banga, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Panevėžys 2-1 Banga
Original prediction
Banga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 36.9% | 25.7% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.6% | 27.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.5% | 46.8% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.3 pts
Projected Score
Panevėžys 0–1 Banga
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Banga
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Banga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PanevėžysWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BangaWLLDD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PanevėžysBanga
37.8Attack45.6
51.1Defence68.9
42.2Form52.2
45.3Power55.9
0.73xG1.25