GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 8/25/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Panetolikos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Panetolikos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while PAS Giannina are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Panetolikos hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Super League 1, while Panetolikos holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Panetolikos

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Panetolikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanetolikosWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PAS GianninaWLDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
PanetolikosPAS Giannina
36.4Attack33.3
50.5Defence37.4
36.4Form23.2
42.7Power34.0
1.50xG0.88
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