Panetolikosvs
PAOK
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Panetolikos 1-3 PAOK
Original prediction
PAOK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.25 | 14.9% | 31.6% | 16.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.8% | 25.8% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 62.3% | 42.6% | -19.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PanetolikosLWWWL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PAOKWWLDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PanetolikosPAOK
58.3Attack75.0
66.7Defence66.7
75.0Form75.0
66.9Power71.1
1.37xG1.34