Panetolikosvs
Olympiakos Piraeus
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Panetolikos 0-0 Olympiakos Piraeus, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Panetolikos 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus
Original prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.24 | 10.1% | 28.1% | 18.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 19.1% | 27.0% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 1.32 | 70.8% | 44.9% | -25.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.9 pts
Projected Score
Panetolikos 0–0 Olympiakos Piraeus
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Olympiakos Piraeus
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40