Panetolikosvs
Kalamata
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 8/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panetolikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Panetolikos 2-0 Kalamata
Original prediction
Panetolikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.6% | 45.7% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.5% | 27.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.9% | 27.1% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Panetolikos
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Panetolikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60