GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 8/26/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Panathinaikos · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Panathinaikos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Volos NFC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.8% in the Super League 1, while Panathinaikos holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Panathinaikos

Probability

80.8%

Model confidence

80.8%

Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanathinaikosLLWDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Volos NFCDWDDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PanathinaikosVolos NFC
74.1Attack36.4
64.8Defence41.4
64.8Form33.3
66.4Power39.4
3.02xG0.65
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