GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Villarreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Panathinaikos are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Villarreal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Villarreal hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Villarreal holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Villarreal

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Villarreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanathinaikosWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
VillarrealWLLWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PanathinaikosVillarreal
38.9Attack50.0
44.4Defence50.0
22.2Form66.7
37.2Power57.9
1.27xG1.55
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