PanathinaikosvsSturm Graz

Panathinaikos are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sturm Graz are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Panathinaikos holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.