Panathinaikosvs
Shakhtar Donetsk
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/7/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Panathinaikos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shakhtar Donetsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Panathinaikos holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40