GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/7/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Panathinaikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Panathinaikos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shakhtar Donetsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Panathinaikos holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Panathinaikos

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanathinaikosDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Shakhtar DonetskWWWDW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
38.9Attack50.0
44.4Defence16.7
22.2Form16.7
37.2Power31.3
1.54xG1.40
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