GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/26/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rennes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Panathinaikos are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rennes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rennes hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rennes holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rennes

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

52.1%

Rennes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanathinaikosDWDDW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RennesLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PanathinaikosRennes
38.9Attack66.7
44.4Defence54.2
22.2Form62.5
37.2Power61.2
1.18xG1.98
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