Panathinaikosvs
Panetolikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 9/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Panathinaikos 3-0 Panetolikos
Original prediction
Panathinaikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 74.6% | 48.7% | -25.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.56 | 16.8% | 24.4% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 10.94 | 8.6% | 26.9% | 18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20