Panathinaikosvs
Niki Volos
COMPLETEDGreece · Cup · 9/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Panathinaikos 1-0 Niki Volos
Original prediction
Panathinaikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 83.5% | 51.1% | -32.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.93 | 11.6% | 25.5% | 13.9 pts |
| Away | 19.07 | 4.8% | 23.4% | 18.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00