Panathinaikosvs
Maccabi Haifa
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Panathinaikos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Maccabi Haifa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Panathinaikos holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00