Panathinaikosvs
Kifisia
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 9/10/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Panathinaikos 3-1 Kifisia
Original prediction
Panathinaikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 74.2% | 56.9% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.47 | 17.1% | 23.4% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 10.64 | 8.8% | 19.7% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60