GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/25/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Panathinaikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Panathinaikos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Botev Plovdiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 37.2 against 36.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Panathinaikos holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Panathinaikos

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanathinaikosWDWDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Botev PlovdivWDWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PanathinaikosBotev Plovdiv
38.9Attack41.7
44.4Defence25.0
22.2Form33.3
37.2Power36.3
1.62xG1.34
View match centre →