GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Panathinaikos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AS Roma are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AS Roma

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanathinaikosDDLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
AS RomaDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PanathinaikosAS Roma
38.9Attack54.8
44.4Defence71.4
22.2Form59.5
37.2Power61.6
0.73xG1.72
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