GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Panathinaikos are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ajax are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ajax

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PanathinaikosWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AjaxWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PanathinaikosAjax
38.9Attack58.3
44.4Defence37.5
22.2Form33.3
37.2Power43.9
1.61xG1.67
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