Panathinaikosvs
Ajax
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Panathinaikos are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ajax are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajax
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60