World Cup
Panama
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England leads with 66% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Panama head into this in World Cup fixture at MetLife Stadium struggling for consistency (LLL), while England arrive in outstanding form (WLWWW). Panama have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 75% for England over 8 games.
Tactically, England hold the edge. Their elite attack (86/100) is pitted against a average Panama defence (53/100), while Panama's attack faces a average England backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.
Panama have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. England have been excellent on the road, winning all 3 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.
Panama have generated 0.26 xG per game recently while conceding 0.47 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. England have generated 1.56 xG per game recently while conceding 1.13 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches.
England have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects England to win with 62% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Panama 1420%, Draw 1950%, England 6640%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Panama
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Frequently asked questions
Who will win Panama vs England?
GoalVio's model predicts England to win with 62% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Panama vs England?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.
Will both teams score in Panama vs England?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Panama vs England?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.