World CupWorld Cup
Tuesday, 23 June 2026Last updated 10:02
Panama

Panama

Home
LLL
01
Full time
Croatia

Croatia

Away
LWWL
BMO Field
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Croatia(39%)
Prediction correct— Result: Croatia
Win probability
Panama
34%
Draw
27%
Croatia
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Panama
9
Croatia
54
Defence
Panama
53
Croatia
36
Momentum
Panama
0
Croatia
50
Danger (xG)
Panama
0.26
Croatia
0.48
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Panama)
0.26
avg per match
xG for (Croatia)
0.48
avg per match
xG against (Panama)
0.47
avg per match
xG against (Croatia)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PanamaPanama
LLL
CroatiaCroatia
LWWL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Panama34%
Draw27%
Croatia39%

Croatia leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Panama head into this in World Cup fixture at BMO Field struggling for consistency (LLL), while Croatia arrive in mixed form (LWWL). Panama have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for Croatia over 4 games.

The model rates Panama's attack at 9/100 against a 36/100 Croatia defence, and Croatia's attack at 54/100 against a 53/100 Panama backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Panama have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Croatia have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Panama have generated 0.26 xG per game recently while conceding 0.47 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Croatia have generated 0.35 xG per game recently while conceding 1.20 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Croatia have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Croatia to win with 39% confidence. Win probabilities: Panama 3360%, Draw 2740%, Croatia 3900%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Panama 0Draws 01 Croatia
Avg goals: 1.0
24 Jun 2026
Panama
L01
Croatia
xG 0.10.1

Recent form

Panama

Panama

L
vs England
27 Jun 2026
02
xG 0.6
L
vs Croatia
24 Jun 2026
01
xG 0.1
L
@ Ghana
18 Jun 2026
01
xG 0.1
Croatia

Croatia

L
@ Portugal
3 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Ghana
27 Jun 2026
21
xG 0.5
W
@ Panama
24 Jun 2026
10
xG 0.1
L
@ England
17 Jun 2026
24
xG 0.5

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Panama vs Croatia?

GoalVio's model predicts Croatia to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Panama vs Croatia?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Panama vs Croatia?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Panama vs Croatia?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more