Pamba Jijivs
Geita Gold
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 10/8/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Geita Gold · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pamba Jiji 4-0 Geita Gold
Original prediction
Geita Gold
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.3% | 24.8% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.1% | 26.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 34.6% | 49.2% | 14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Geita Gold
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Geita Gold has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60