Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paloma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paloma 3-2 Sasel
Original prediction
Paloma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Paloma
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Paloma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PalomaWDWLW
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SaselWWWWL
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
PalomaSasel
100.0Attack73.3
40.0Defence53.3
66.7Form80.0
68.0Power68.7
2.66xG2.26