Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paloma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Paloma are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Altona 93 are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Paloma hold a 45.5-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 23.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.9% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Paloma holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paloma
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
Paloma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.33/2.33
GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 2.50/0.00